Politics prediction markets

Elections, appointments and policy decisions, priced across every venue we aggregate.

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.

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Most liquid Politics markets right now

  1. 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gavin Newsom 16.0%, $230.2M volume, Kalshi
  2. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Gavin Newsom 15.8%, $132.2M volume, Polymarket
  3. 2028 Republican presidential nominee — J.D. Vance 42.0%, $69.7M volume, Kalshi
  4. Presidential Election Winner 2028 — JD Vance 20.1%, $97.3M volume, Polymarket
  5. When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2029 53.0%, $52.0M volume, Kalshi
  6. Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49.0%, $22.3M volume, Polymarket
  7. Texas Senate winner? — James Talarico 62.0%, $30.8M volume, Kalshi
  8. US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 20, 2029 37.0%, $25.2M volume, Kalshi
  9. Next French Presidential Election — Marine Le Pen 46.0%, $100.5M volume, Polymarket
  10. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Mark Kelly 98.9%, $8.8M volume, Opinion
  11. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — Democrats Sweep 51.0%, $2K volume, Opinion
  12. Will the SAVE Act become law? — Yes 3.1%, $14.7M volume, Kalshi
  13. Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2028 21.0%, $11.5M volume, Kalshi
  14. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? — Yes 5.4%, $9K volume, Opinion
  15. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — Democrats Sweep 62.5%, $404K volume, Polymarket
  16. Maine Senate winner? — Troy Jackson 63.0%, $9.2M volume, Kalshi
  17. Which leaders will leave office this year? — Christopher Luxon 48.0%, $8.2M volume, Kalshi
  18. Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year? — Ric Grenell 69.0%, $8.1M volume, Kalshi
  19. Michigan Senate winner? — Abdul El-Sayed 69.0%, $7.9M volume, Kalshi
  20. Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? — Before January 20, 2029 16.0%, $7.7M volume, Kalshi
  21. Ohio Senate winner? — Sherrod Brown 65.0%, $7.5M volume, Kalshi
  22. Will marijuana be rescheduled? — Before Jan 20, 2029 90.0%, $7.4M volume, Kalshi
  23. California Governor Election Winner — Xavier Becerra 96.4%, $29.6M volume, Polymarket
  24. Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — Katie Zacharia 99.0%, $6.8M volume, Kalshi
  25. Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? — Yes 5.6%, $6.7M volume, Kalshi
  26. Which party will win the House in 2026? — Democratic Party 91.5%, $263K volume, Polymarket
  27. Which party will win the Senate in 2026? — Democratic Party 64.5%, $88K volume, Polymarket
  28. Will the SAVE America Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2028 13.0%, $6.0M volume, Kalshi
  29. Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026? — Yes 5.3%, $1 volume, Opinion

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