Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
As of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 11:27:29 UTC, Opinion traders price Mark Kelly (98.9%), Jon Stewart (95.2%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (41.0%). The market has $8.8M in volume and closes on Tue, 07 Nov 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Kelly | 98.9% | 98.9¢ | 1.1¢ |
| Jon Stewart | 95.2% | 95.2¢ | 4.8¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Gavin Newsom | 22.9% | 22.9¢ | 77.1¢ |
| J.B. Pritzker | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Ruben Gallego | 17.9% | 17.9¢ | 82.1¢ |
| Josh Shapiro | 15.8% | 15.8¢ | 84.2¢ |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Andy Beshear | 8.2% | 8.2¢ | 91.8¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | 3.9% | 3.9¢ | 96.1¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Stephen A. Smith | 2.1% | 2.1¢ | 97.9¢ |
| Wes Moore | 1.7% | 1.7¢ | 98.3¢ |
| Rahm Emanuel | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.5¢ |
| Kamala Harris | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Opinion
- Volume: $8.8M
- Liquidity: $16.9M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources
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