Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:47:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price Gavin Newsom (15.8%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (15.0%), Jon Ossoff (14.8%). The market has $106.4M in volume and closes on Wed, 08 Nov 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Gavin Newsom15.8%15.8¢84.2¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Jon Ossoff14.8%14.8¢85.2¢
Kamala Harris6.6%6.6¢93.5¢
Josh Shapiro5.5%5.5¢94.5¢
Pete Buttigieg4.9%4.9¢95.1¢
Andy Beshear3.3%3.3¢96.7¢
James Talarico2.6%2.6¢97.4¢
Mark Kelly2.1%2.1¢97.9¢
Wes Moore2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Raphael Warnock1.9%1.9¢98.0¢
Bernie Sanders1.6%1.6¢98.5¢
Rahm Emanuel1.6%1.6¢98.5¢
Ro Khanna1.5%1.5¢98.6¢
J.B. Pritzker1.3%1.3¢98.8¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Sources

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