Next Prime Minister of Spain?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:47:26 UTC, Polymarket traders price Alberto Núñez Feijóo (82.0%), Pedro Sánchez (14.6%), Santiago Abascal (2.8%). The market has $276K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Apr 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Pedro Sánchez | 14.6% | 14.6¢ | 85.4¢ |
| Santiago Abascal | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| Carlos Cuerpo | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Yolanda Díaz | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Ester Muñoz | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| María Jesús Montero | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Ernest Urtasun | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Aitor Esteban | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Miguel Tellado | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Cuca Gamarra | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Borja Sémper | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Carles Puigdemont | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Pepa Millán | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $276K
- Liquidity: $1.4M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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