Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 09:26:00 UTC, Polymarket traders price Gadi Eizenkot (50.0%), Benjamin Netanyahu (29.5%), Naftali Bennett (12.5%). The market has $6.5M in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Gadi Eizenkot50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Benjamin Netanyahu29.5%29.5¢70.5¢
Naftali Bennett12.5%12.5¢87.5¢
Avigdor Lieberman3.3%3.3¢96.7¢
Itamar Ben Gvir0.3%0.3¢99.8¢
Yossi Cohen0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Israel Katz0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Gilad Erdan0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Ofer Winter0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Yair Lapid0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Yair Golan0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Gideon Sa’ar0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Yariv Levin0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Yoaz Hendel0.1%0.1¢99.9¢
Benny Gantz0.1%0.1¢99.9¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.