Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:32:39 UTC, Polymarket traders price Somaliland (14.0%), Syria (5.7%), Egypt (5.7%). The market has $931K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Somaliland | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Syria | 5.7% | 5.7¢ | 94.3¢ |
| Egypt | 5.7% | 5.7¢ | 94.3¢ |
| Jordan | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| Oman | 5.3% | 5.3¢ | 94.7¢ |
| Qatar | 5.3% | 5.3¢ | 94.8¢ |
| Kuwait | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Lebanon | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Saudi Arabia | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Azerbaijan | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Turkey | 3.9% | 3.9¢ | 96.1¢ |
| Pakistan | 3.1% | 3.1¢ | 96.9¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $931K
- Liquidity: $202K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
Related markets
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- Iran leader end of 2026?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.