Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:32:41 UTC, Polymarket traders price Pete Buttigieg (32.4%), Rahm Emanuel (24.6%), Phil Murphy (22.1%). The market has $984K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Buttigieg | 32.4% | 32.4¢ | 67.7¢ |
| Rahm Emanuel | 24.6% | 24.6¢ | 75.3¢ |
| Phil Murphy | 22.1% | 22.1¢ | 77.9¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 13.9% | 13.9¢ | 86.2¢ |
| Gavin Newsom | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
| Andy Beshear | 13.4% | 13.4¢ | 86.6¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 12.5% | 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ |
| Mark Kelly | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 87.9¢ |
| Raphael Warnock | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
| Gina Raimondo | 8.3% | 8.3¢ | 91.6¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 7.8% | 7.8¢ | 92.3¢ |
| Glenn Youngkin | 7.4% | 7.4¢ | 92.5¢ |
| Kamala Harris | 7.1% | 7.1¢ | 92.8¢ |
| Cory Booker | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Don Lemon | 6.7% | 6.7¢ | 93.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $984K
- Liquidity: $826K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Pete Buttigieg:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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