Which party will win the Senate in 2028?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:26:47 UTC, Polymarket traders price Democratic Party (72.0%), Party A (50.0%), Party C (50.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 08 Nov 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| Party A | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party C | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party E | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party F | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party D | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Other | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party B | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Republican Party | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $105K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2028 United States general election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and wins the Vice Presidency in the 2028 United States Presidential Election. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated. The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber. All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 121st Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2028 as of October 31, 2028 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2028. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2028 as of October 31, 2028 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes…
Sources
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