Venezuela leader end of 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:54:27 UTC, Polymarket traders price Nicolás Maduro (73.6%), Delcy Rodríguez (17.5%), No Head of State (2.1%). The market has $49.9M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Maduro | 73.6% | 73.6¢ | 26.4¢ |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
| No Head of State | 2.1% | 2.1¢ | 97.9¢ |
| María Corina Machado | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| Jorge Rodríguez | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Edmundo González | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Frank Donovan | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Diosdado Cabello Rondón | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Dinorah Figuera | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Donald Trump | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Dan Caine | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Vladimir Padrino López | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Evan Pettus | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $49.9M
- Liquidity: $2.2M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir…
Sources
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