How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:45:19 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below 53 (64.0%), E53 (14.0%), E54 (11.0%). The market has $538K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Below 5364.0%64.0¢36.0¢
E5314.0%14.0¢86.0¢
E5411.0%11.0¢89.0¢
E558.0%8.0¢92.0¢
E564.5%4.5¢95.5¢
Above 572.0%2.0¢98.0¢
E572.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below 53:

If the Democratic party has below 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.