How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:34:28 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 55 (6.0%), Above 60 (6.0%), Above 62 (6.0%). The market has $188K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 55 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 60 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 62 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 64 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 66 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 58 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 68 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 50 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $188K
- Liquidity: $188K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 55:
If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is above 55, then the market resolves to Yes. KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
Sources
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