How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:56:14 UTC, Polymarket traders price Above 64 (14.5%), Above 58 (11.5%), Above 55 (11.5%). The market has $59K in volume and closes on Sat, 02 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 64 | 14.5% | 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ |
| Above 58 | 11.5% | 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ |
| Above 55 | 11.5% | 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ |
| Above 60 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 50 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 66 | 5.8% | 5.8¢ | 94.2¢ |
| Above 62 | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Above 68 | 4.2% | 4.2¢ | 95.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $59K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the number specified in this market's title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Above" means strictly greater than the number specified in the title. For example, a market titled "Above 58" will resolve to "Yes" only if 59 or more Senators vote "Yea". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote must be a vote on final passage of the bill conducted in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. Not every Senator needs to have participated in the vote. The first vote on final passage will be used for resolution regardless of whether the bill passes on that vote; subsequent votes on passage — including any re-vote following a motion to reconsider, or a vote on a conference report or House-amended version — will not be considered. If no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". If qualifying legislation passes the Senate before January 1, 2027 without a prior recorded vote on final passage (e.g., passage by…
Sources
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