Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:40:32 UTC, Polymarket traders price Thom Tillis (10.5%), Mike Lee (9.3%), Raphael Warnock (8.5%). The market has $280K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thom Tillis | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
| Mike Lee | 9.3% | 9.3¢ | 90.6¢ |
| Raphael Warnock | 8.5% | 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ |
| Andy Kim | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Jerry Moran | 7.6% | 7.6¢ | 92.3¢ |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| Jacky Rosen | 7.2% | 7.2¢ | 92.8¢ |
| John Fetterman | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Ruben Gallego | 6.9% | 6.9¢ | 93.2¢ |
| Alex Padilla | 6.8% | 6.8¢ | 93.3¢ |
| Mark Warner | 6.2% | 6.2¢ | 93.8¢ |
| Josh Hawley | 6.1% | 6.1¢ | 93.9¢ |
| Lisa Blunt Rochester | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| Rand Paul | 5.1% | 5.1¢ | 94.8¢ |
| Catherine Cortez Masto | 4.9% | 4.9¢ | 95.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $280K
- Liquidity: $139K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).
Sources
Related markets
- Will the SAVE Act become law?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Will the SAVE America Act become law?
- Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
- Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?
- Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.