How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:40:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price E48 (18.0%), E50 (13.0%), E47 (13.0%). The market has $3.1M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
E4818.0%18.0¢82.0¢
E5013.0%13.0¢87.0¢
E4713.0%13.0¢87.0¢
E4911.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Below 4510.0%10.0¢90.0¢
E4610.0%10.0¢90.0¢
E519.0%9.0¢91.0¢
E527.0%7.0¢93.0¢
E457.0%7.0¢93.0¢
E535.0%5.0¢95.0¢
E543.0%3.0¢97.0¢
E562.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 572.0%2.0¢98.0¢
E552.0%2.0¢98.0¢
E571.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for E48:

If the Republican party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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