Ohio: Acton's margin vs. Brown's margin?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Brown by 0-3 (32.0%), Acton by 0-3 (28.0%), Acton by 3-6 (14.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Tue, 08 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Brown by 0-332.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Acton by 0-328.0%28.0¢72.0¢
Acton by 3-614.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Brown by 3-613.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Brown by 6-92.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Acton by 6-92.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Brown by 9+1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Acton by 9+1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Brown by 0-3:

If Sherrod Brown's margin in the Ohio U.S. Senate special election minus Amy Acton's margin in the Ohio governor election is between 0.01 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.