How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1 (26.0%), At least 3 (12.0%), At least 5 (8.0%). The market has $24K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 126.0%26.0¢74.0¢
At least 312.0%12.0¢88.0¢
At least 58.0%8.0¢92.0¢
At least 106.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 205.0%5.0¢95.0¢
At least 505.0%5.0¢95.0¢
At least 754.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 253.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 153.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 1002.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Sources

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