2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:43:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price J.D. Vance (20.0%), Gavin Newsom (12.0%), Marco Rubio (9.6%). The market has $72.7M in volume and closes on Sun, 21 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Gavin Newsom | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 9.6% | 9.6¢ | 90.4¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 9.6% | 9.6¢ | 90.4¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | 7.9% | 7.9¢ | 92.1¢ |
| Kamala Harris | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Josh Shapiro | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ |
| Donald J. Trump | 2.6% | 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ |
| Rahm Emanuel | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| James Talarico | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Andy Beshear | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Mark Kelly | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $72.7M
- Liquidity: $75.3M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for J.D. Vance:
If J.D. Vance is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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