2028 Democratic presidential nominee
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 08:43:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Gavin Newsom (16.0%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (14.0%), Jon Ossoff (13.0%). The market has $230.2M in volume and closes on Tue, 07 Nov 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Kamala Harris | 7.7% | 7.7¢ | 92.3¢ |
| Josh Shapiro | 4.6% | 4.6¢ | 95.4¢ |
| Andy Beshear | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Mark Kelly | 3.7% | 3.7¢ | 96.3¢ |
| Raphael Warnock | 2.7% | 2.7¢ | 97.3¢ |
| J.B. Pritzker | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| James Talarico | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| Rahm Emanuel | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Michelle Obama | 1.9% | 1.9¢ | 98.1¢ |
| Ro Khanna | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.5¢ |
| Wes Moore | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $230.2M
- Liquidity: $242.9M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Gavin Newsom:
If Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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