Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Ted Cruz (82.0%), J.D. Vance (79.0%), Ron DeSantis (66.0%). The market has $500K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Cruz | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| J.D. Vance | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Rand Paul | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Thomas Massie | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Glenn Youngkin | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Chris Christie | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Brian Kemp | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| John McEntee | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Tucker Carlson | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Doug Burgum | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $500K
- Liquidity: $500K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Ted Cruz:
If Ted Cruz announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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