Who will the next Pope be?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:01 UTC, Kalshi traders price Luis Antonio Tagle (13.0%), Pietro Parolin (5.0%), Pierbattista Pizzaballa (4.0%). The market has $146K in volume and closes on Wed, 01 Jan 2070.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Antonio Tagle | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Pietro Parolin | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Pierbattista Pizzaballa | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Fridolin Ambongo | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Peter Erdo | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Matteo Zuppi | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Anders Arborelius | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $146K
- Liquidity: $146K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Luis Antonio Tagle:
If Luis Antonio Tagle becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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