Who will win the Fields Medal this year?
As of Thu, 23 Jul 2026 14:32:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Jacob Tsimerman (99.6%), Yu Deng (99.0%), Hong Wang (98.2%). The market has $152K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Tsimerman | 99.6% | 99.6¢ | 0.4¢ |
| Yu Deng | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Hong Wang | 98.2% | 98.2¢ | 1.8¢ |
| John Pardon | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Jack Thorne | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Alexander Efimov | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Aleksandr Logunov | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Julian Sahasrabudhe | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Will Sawin | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Sam Raskin | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $152K
- Liquidity: $152K
- Closes:
Sources
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