Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:28 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (23.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes23.0%23.0¢77.0¢

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