When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2040 (62.0%), Before 2035 (51.0%), Before 2030 (39.0%). The market has $48K in volume and closes on Sun, 08 Jan 2040.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2040 | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Before 2035 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Before 2030 | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Before 2027 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $48K
- Liquidity: $48K
- Closes:
Sources
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