When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2028 (96.0%), Before July 2027 (92.0%), Before April 2027 (54.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Sat, 08 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before 202896.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Before July 202792.0%92.0¢8.0¢
Before April 202754.0%54.0¢46.0¢
Before February 202720.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Before 202712.0%12.0¢88.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2028:

If Virgin Galactic launches next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip After issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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