When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 2027 (68.0%), Before Mar 2027 (48.0%), Before Feb 2027 (32.0%). The market has $279K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 2027 | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Before Mar 2027 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Before Feb 2027 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Before 2027 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Before December | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Before November | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $279K
- Liquidity: $279K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 2027:
If Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket has launched from the launch pad before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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