When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2030 (62.0%), Before 2028 (48.0%), Before 2027 (4.0%). The market has $1.1M in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Before 2028 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Before 2027 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.1M
- Liquidity: $1.1M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2030:
If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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