Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:08:38 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (19.0%). The market has $97K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $97K
- Liquidity: $97K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If SpaceX lands anything successfully on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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