When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2029 (80.0%), Before Jul 1, 2028 (66.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (39.0%). The market has $236K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 202980.0%80.0¢20.0¢
Before Jul 1, 202866.0%66.0¢34.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202839.0%39.0¢61.0¢
Before Jun 1, 202718.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Before Jan 1, 20273.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2029:

If Venezuela holds a presidential election before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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