Who will be Argentina's Peronist presidential nominee?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:27 UTC, Kalshi traders price Axel Kicillof (51.0%), Sergio Massa (12.0%), Máximo Kirchner (6.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Wed, 15 Sep 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Kicillof | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Sergio Massa | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Máximo Kirchner | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Sergio Uñac | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Jorge Capitanich | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Dante Gebel | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Eduardo de Pedro | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Gerardo Zamora | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Juan Grabois | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Ricardo Quintela | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Axel Kicillof:
If Axel Kicillof wins the Justicialist Party's nomination for the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. The nominee is the person registered with Argentina's electoral authorities as the presidential candidate of the Justicialist Party (Partido Justicialista), or of an electoral alliance that includes it, whether chosen in a primary (PASO) or otherwise. A ticket that does not include the Justicialist Party does not count. If more than one ticket includes the Justicialist Party, only the one the party officially endorses counts. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Sources
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