Next French presidential election winner?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 05:09:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Marine Le Pen (52.0%), Édouard Philippe (17.0%), David Lisnard (11.0%). The market has $784K in volume and closes on Mon, 31 May 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Marine Le Pen52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Édouard Philippe17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
David Lisnard11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon8.6%8.6¢91.4¢
François Hollande5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Raphaël Glucksmann5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Christine Lagarde3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Bruno Retailleau1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Gabriel Attal1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Jordan Bardella1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Sarah Knafo1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Bruno Le Maire0.0%0.0¢100.0¢
Carole Delga0.0%0.0¢100.0¢
Xavier Bertrand0.0%0.0¢100.0¢
Bernard Cazeneuve0.0%0.0¢100.0¢

Market details

Sources

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