Next German federal election winner?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price AfD (84.0%), CDU/CSU (12.0%), SPD (7.0%). The market has $65K in volume and closes on Mon, 25 Mar 2030.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
AfD84.0%84.0¢16.0¢
CDU/CSU12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
SPD7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Greens3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
The Left2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
BSW1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
FDP1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Sources

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