Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:37:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price Gadi Eizenkot (44.0%), Benjamin Netanyahu (30.0%), Naftali Bennett (11.0%). The market has $767K in volume and closes on Wed, 27 Oct 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Amir Ohana | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Moshe Feiglin | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Ayelet Shaked | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Gideon Sa'ar | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Benny Gantz | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Yossi Cohen | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Yuli Edelstein | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Yariv Levin | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Yair Golan | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Yair Lapid | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Yoaz Hendel | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $767K
- Liquidity: $767K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Gadi Eizenkot:
If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Sources
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