Reddest House district to elect a Democrat this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Trump +5 or more (96.0%), Trump +10 or more (95.0%), Trump +15 or more (91.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 15 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump +5 or more | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Trump +10 or more | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Trump +15 or more | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Trump +20 or more | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Trump +25 or more | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Trump +30 or more | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Sources
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