Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hakeem Jeffries (85.0%), Jim Jordan (11.0%), Steve Scalise (2.0%). The market has $36K in volume and closes on Wed, 01 Jan 2031.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hakeem Jeffries | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Jim Jordan | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Steve Scalise | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $36K
- Liquidity: $36K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hakeem Jeffries:
If Hakeem Jeffries is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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