120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hakeem Jeffries (88.0%), Mike Johnson (7.0%), Pete Aguilar (5.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hakeem Jeffries | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Mike Johnson | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Pete Aguilar | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Tom Emmer | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Jim Jordan | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Katherine Clark | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Steve Scalise | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $19K
- Liquidity: $19K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hakeem Jeffries:
If Hakeem Jeffries wins the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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