2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price Jean-Luc Mélenchon (97.0%), Marine Le Pen (97.0%), Nathalie Arthaud (89.0%). The market has $25K in volume and closes on Wed, 30 Jun 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Marine Le Pen | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Éric Zemmour | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Fabien Roussel | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Jean Lassalle | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Bruno Retailleau | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Dominique de Villepin | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| François Hollande | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Gabriel Attal | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Marine Tondelier | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| François Ruffin | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $25K
- Liquidity: $25K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Jean-Luc Mélenchon:
If Jean-Luc Mélenchon is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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