German presidential election winner?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:04:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Ilse Aigner (50.0%), Karin Prien (17.0%), Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer (13.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 28 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilse Aigner | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Karin Prien | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Julia Klöckner | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Boris Rhein | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Udo Di Fabio | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Monika Grütters | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Gabriele Krone-Schmalz | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Hape Kerkeling | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Ilse Aigner:
If Ilse Aigner wins the 2027 German presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. The Federal President of Germany is chosen by the Federal Convention (Bundesversammlung), made up of the Bundestag and an equal number of state delegates, rather than by direct popular vote. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Sources
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