2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Democratic by 91 to 130 (13.0%), Democratic by 61 to 90 (12.0%), Democratic by 31 to 60 (10.0%). The market has $23K in volume and closes on Mon, 08 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic by 91 to 130 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Democratic by 61 to 90 | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Democratic by 31 to 60 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Democratic by 131 to 210 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Republican by 61 to 90 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Republican by 91 to 130 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Republican by 31 to 60 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Democratic by 11 to 30 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Democratic by 211 or more | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Republican by 11 to 30 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Republican by 1 to 10 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Republican by 211 or more | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Democratic by 1 to 10 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Republican by 131 to 210 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $23K
- Liquidity: $23K
- Closes:
Sources
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