2028 Presidential matchup
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance (13.0%), AOC v. JD Vance (11.0%), Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance (11.0%). The market has $322K in volume and closes on Tue, 07 Nov 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| AOC v. JD Vance | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Kamala Harris v. JD Vance | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| AOC v. Marco Rubio | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| James Talarico v. Marco Rubio | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Andy Beshear v. JD Vance | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg v. Marco Rubio | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Andy Beshear v. Marco Rubio | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Kamala Harris v. Marco Rubio | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| James Talarico v. JD Vance | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg v. JD Vance | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $322K
- Liquidity: $322K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance:
If Gavin Newsom (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential election.
Sources
Related markets
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