Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price 115 to 119.99 million (28.0%), 110 to 114.99 million (27.0%), 125 million and above (17.0%). The market has $116K in volume and closes on Wed, 31 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115 to 119.99 million | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| 110 to 114.99 million | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| 125 million and above | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| 105 to 109.99 million | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| 120 to 124.99 million | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| 100 to 104.99 million | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 95 to 99.99 million | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 90 to 94.99 million | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Less than 90 million | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $116K
- Liquidity: $116K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 115 to 119.99 million:
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is between 115,000,000 and 119,999,999, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total. If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Sources
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