Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 21:00:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Narendra Modi (42.0%), Rahul Gandhi (31.0%), Yogi Adityanath (16.0%). The market has $34K in volume and closes on Tue, 30 Apr 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Narendra Modi | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Rahul Gandhi | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Yogi Adityanath | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Akhilesh Yadav | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| N. Chandrababu Naidu | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Priyanka Gandhi Vadra | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Amit Shah | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Nitin Gadkari | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Devendra Fadnavis | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $34K
- Liquidity: $34K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Narendra Modi:
If Narendra Modi becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Apr 30, 2030, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Sources
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