Australian House election winner?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:57:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Australian Labor Party (51.0%), Liberal-National Coalition (39.0%), One Nation (6.0%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Sat, 30 Sep 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Labor Party | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Liberal-National Coalition | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| One Nation | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Australian Greens | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $17K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Australian Labor Party:
If the winner of the next Australian House election is Australian Labor Party, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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