Balearic Islands regional election winner?

As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 10:03:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price PP (80.0%), PSIB-PSOE (13.0%), Vox (6.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 23 Jun 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
PP80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
PSIB-PSOE13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Vox6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for PP:

If PP wins the next Balearic Islands regional election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands wins. If two or more parties tie in seats, the one with the higher share of the vote across all four constituencies will resolve to Yes and all others to No A joint list registered with the electoral authority before the nomination deadline counts for the market's party only if that party is named first in the list's name; a separate local list, such as Sa Unió in Formentera, does not add to any party's seats All 59 seats are directly elected; there are no overhang, leveling or appointed seats This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Sources

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