Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:10:30 UTC, Polymarket traders price No change (71.5%), 25 bps increase (21.5%), 50+ bps increase (3.5%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Tue, 08 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 71.5% | 71.5¢ | 28.5¢ |
| 25 bps increase | 21.5% | 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ |
| 50+ bps increase | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| 25 bps decrease | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 98.9¢ |
| 50+ bps decrease | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $10K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 7 and December 8, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will incl…
Sources
Related markets
- Fed Decision in October?
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next French Presidential Election
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- Iran leader end of 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.