Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Aleksandar Vučić (70.0%), Ilija Srdanović (20.0%), Miloš Vučević (4.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Sun, 31 Dec 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vučić | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Ilija Srdanović | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Miloš Vučević | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Ana Brnabić | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Dragan Đilas | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Stefan Krkobabić | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Ivica Dačić | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $19K
- Liquidity: $19K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Aleksandar Vučić:
If Aleksandar Vučić becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Dec 31, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Sources
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