Turkish presidential election winner?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:01 UTC, Kalshi traders price Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (51.0%), Ekrem İmamoğlu (11.0%), Mansur Yavaş (11.0%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Mon, 08 May 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Ekrem İmamoğlu | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Mansur Yavaş | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Ahmet Davutoğlu | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Ali Babacan | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Muharrem İnce | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Sinan Oğan | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Müsavat Dervişoğlu | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Ümit Özdağ | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Fatih Erbakan | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $17K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan:
If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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