Turkish presidential election: first round winner?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (67.0%), Ekrem İmamoğlu (20.0%), Mansur Yavaş (5.0%). The market has $26K in volume and closes on Sun, 07 May 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Ekrem İmamoğlu | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Mansur Yavaş | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $26K
- Liquidity: $26K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan:
If the winner of the first round of the next Turkish presidential election is Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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