How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:37:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 285k (99.0%), Above 300k (99.0%), Above 325k (95.0%). The market has $29K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 285k | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 300k | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 325k | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 350k | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 375k | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Above 400k | 58.0% | 58.0¢ | 42.0¢ |
| Above 425k | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Above 450k | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Above 500k | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $29K
- Liquidity: $29K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 285k:
If the total number of gonorrhea cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 285000, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized. This market refers exclusively to human cases.
Sources
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