How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price 250 or more (98.0%), 500 or more (73.0%), 750 or more (19.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 31 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250 or more | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 500 or more | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| 750 or more | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| 1k or more | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 1k or more:
If the total number of locally acquired dengue cases reported in Florida during 2026 is at least 1000, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 31). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
Sources
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