Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (11.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If there are above 0 cases of polio in the United States in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- Pandemic this year?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case this year?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States this year?
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.